Donald Trump appears close to invincible in the early Republican primaries and caucuses, but his strength among general election voters remains unclear.
The danger has never been trump gaining voters, it’s that Biden is so shit and ignoring the majority of Dem voters that it might depress turnout so much Trump’s base could be enough like it was in 2016.
People only turn up to vote against something… that’s the real problem Biden has. Th old say ‘you run using poetry, you govern using prose’, is apt. Ironically it’ll be the anger over Gaza, that will keep the Democratic base home, and if Trump wins he’ll claim half of Gaza for himself.
Meanwhile Biden is losing support, so it doesn’t matter if trump just stays the same.
Biden only has 4% on Biden in the 18-34 demo, which is a lot more about Biden’s inaction than trump.
https://www.axios.com/2024/02/26/biden-trump-gen-z-millennial-poll
The danger has never been trump gaining voters, it’s that Biden is so shit and ignoring the majority of Dem voters that it might depress turnout so much Trump’s base could be enough like it was in 2016.
People only turn up to vote against something… that’s the real problem Biden has. Th old say ‘you run using poetry, you govern using prose’, is apt. Ironically it’ll be the anger over Gaza, that will keep the Democratic base home, and if Trump wins he’ll claim half of Gaza for himself.
That’s like saying a shit sandwich is the most popular meal, and not mentioning there’s nothing else to eat.
Lots of people don’t turn up to vote, they want something to vote for.
That’s how Obama won red states his first election