Donald Trump is ahead of President Biden by six percentage points among likely voters in a new national survey. Overall, 74 percent of voters view Mr. Biden as too old for the job, an uptick since the debate.
    • Rapidcreek@lemmy.worldOP
      266·
      3 days ago

      One of my former wives told me to just at least look for a little optimism, so here goes…

      I think you could make an argument this might be “rock bottom” for a Democratic campaign given the media narrative over the past week.

      But Trump still can’t hit 50% or get over the hump to a majority. So the one possible good takeaway is that this would indicate that if we could get our shit together, there’s hope.

      • djsoren19@yiffit.net
        33·
        3 days ago

        Trump doesn’t need 50% of the country though, he just needs to tighten his lead in the key battleground states he was already beating Biden in.

      • Zaktor@sopuli.xyzEnglish
        19·
        3 days ago

        I appreciate the positive viewpoint, but we also need to remember that the popular vote doesn’t decide the election. Trump won in 2016 with 46%.

  • Rapidcreek@lemmy.worldOP
    103·
    3 days ago

    A new New York Times/Siena poll finds Donald Trump leading Joe Biden nationally among registered voters by eight percentage points, 49% to 41%.

    Among likely voters, Trump leads by six percentage points, 49% to 43%.

    Overall, 74% of voters view Biden as too old for the job, an uptick of eight points since the debate.

    Nate Cohn: “In each case, it’s a three-point shift toward Mr. Trump since the last Times/Siena survey, taken immediately before the debate.”

    “Historically, a three-point shift after the first debate isn’t unusual. In fact, it’s the norm. Over the last seven presidential elections, the person generally considered the winner of the first presidential debate has gained an average of three points in post-debate polls

    • Pelicanen@sopuli.xyz
      1·
      3 days ago

      The horizontal position of the solid colored circle is the percentage (further to the right means higher) and the opaque color band is the margin for error.

  • AutoTL;DR@lemmings.worldBEnglish
    13·
    3 days ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:

    A majority of every demographic, geographic and ideological group in the poll — including Black voters and those who said they will still be voting for him — believe Mr. Biden, 81, is too old to be effective.

    The poll offers early empirical evidence of what many Democrats have feared: That Mr. Biden’s faltering debate performance has further imperiled his chances against Mr. Trump this fall.

    After the debate, 42 percent of voters view Mr. Trump as too old for the job, an increase of three points from a week prior that was driven heavily by Democrats.

    Mr. Trump has made appeals to machismo a centerpiece of his 2024 campaign, making his first public appearance after his felony conviction related to paying hush money to a porn star a visit to a U.F.C.

    The share of voters paying a lot of attention to the campaign was jolted up 9 percentage points in the wake of the much-discussed debate.

    In theory, this means that the results should reflect the views of the overall population most of the time, though many other challenges create additional sources of error.

    The original article contains 2,114 words, the summary contains 186 words. Saved 91%. I’m a bot and I’m open source!