blargerer

This is just survivorship bias right? The ones that get caught are hard to hide. That’s part of why they got caught.

Never doubt the impact bad incentives can have on a large group of individual actors.

She doesn’t really have an official policy yet. Not surprising given the number of issues she needs positions on and how quickly this campaign needed to spin up. She basically went straight into campaign events. Presumably she’ll have a platform by the DNC

That seems like a bad policy.

If you are serious about losing weight, what I would suggest you do is start recording what you are eating in detail to see where the calories are actually coming from. Make a spreadsheet and track it. Also if you aren’t already active, pick up some activity to become less sedentary. Doesn’t need to be working out, could be a sport, could be going for more walks.

Can you give an example of what you currently eat? I… doubt you aren’t losing weight if you are really eating 900 calories a day.

This is what most hacking is.

Eeeh. Its reasonably to try I guess, but looking at the examples, its cherry picked promotional materials where the words jump and dive were used as swimming related puns for going to the museum. None of them were literal advertisements about jumping into the sprinkle pool.

Plenty of latino people identify as white. Another group have fled to the US from socialist countries like Cuba, and don’t like the left. Yet another have gone through the immigration process properly and resent the idea of others being able to bypass what they had to go through. (obviously there is some heavy overlap in these groups). When you add them all together its not an insubstantial % of latinos.

Trump has an amount of media savvy to him which matters a lot in popularity contests. He’s also incredibly intellectually lazy and unwilling to put in the work to get things done. The signs of this are all over his first presidency and a matter of public record.

It’s hard to compare apples to apples because of a change in the way things were measured, but by best estimates Biden got a comparable uncommitted vote share to Obama in 2012.