No one is excited to go to war. Telling your population that you are going to send their family members to their deaths is political suicide. No one is roaring to send themselves, their father, husband, brother, or sister to get shot and killed; even if it’s for a righteous cause.
It’s why offensive wars rarely work. The populace just gives up. While defensive wars are extremely easy to politically justify.
Lebanon is much more evenly matched with Israel, and might even succeed in a war. However, not without a heavy cost to civilian lives lost, military casualties, their economy, industry, tourism, and so on. It’ll be a lot harder for Hezbollah to justify why they got involved when Israeli cruise missiles rain down on Beirut; even if they are winning the war. Especially when they could instead continue their current course of action of preparing for conflict and stalling.
That’s the sad reality. Red lines keep getting pushed because confronting the reality of the situation is to painful of a bandage to rip off.
The cost of turning a blind eye to Israeli attacks and the effects of the war are still more enticing then the political disaster that declaring war would bring. Essentially it’s a sacrifice that Hezbollah are willing to make.
But at the same time, can you really fault them? A war would bring tens of thousand of dead at the minimum, along with untold damage to the civilian population. Even if Lebanon wins a brilliant victory against Israel and turns into a world hero, the long term ramifications would be disastrous and leave Lebanon in a weakened position for years of not decades.
The cost of war for a nation the size of Lebanon is often disastrous. They are not like Russia or the US who can afford to take the ramifications in step.
I don’t have much respect for the Lebanese government, but i do for Hezbollah. We have to remember that these are two different entities, and i think that so far Hezbollah have played a very smart game, they have acted patiently and strategically and have carefully controlled the pace of escalation. They have caused huge problems for the Zionist entity in the north of occupied Palestine, and this simultaneously takes pressure off of Gaza as a lot of resources have to be devoted to the northern front now while at the same time creating a political conundrum for the Zionist regime as it is forced to pick between openly admitting to their humiliating defeat in Gaza or a worse and worse security situation in the north.
It’s easy to fall into the trap of wanting to see some big, spectacular escalation by the Lebanese resistance but we have to ask ourselves whether we want that because it’s the strategically correct play to help Gaza and the Palestinian people or because we are impatient and have an emotional need for some kind of immediate catharsis.
Sometimes we have to have some humility and admit that maybe we don’t know what’s best because we aren’t there on the ground and should instead trust that the axis of resistance knows its own situation better than we ever could, they have experience fighting the Zionist entity and they know what they’re doing.
Literally. I don’t think I’ve got respect for Lebanon anymore after this.
Why the fuck are you still stalling??? You really don’t have an excuse
No one is excited to go to war. Telling your population that you are going to send their family members to their deaths is political suicide. No one is roaring to send themselves, their father, husband, brother, or sister to get shot and killed; even if it’s for a righteous cause.
It’s why offensive wars rarely work. The populace just gives up. While defensive wars are extremely easy to politically justify.
Lebanon is much more evenly matched with Israel, and might even succeed in a war. However, not without a heavy cost to civilian lives lost, military casualties, their economy, industry, tourism, and so on. It’ll be a lot harder for Hezbollah to justify why they got involved when Israeli cruise missiles rain down on Beirut; even if they are winning the war. Especially when they could instead continue their current course of action of preparing for conflict and stalling.
They’re constantly getting bombed by Zionists. Massacres are a regular thing with the entity as a neighbor.
Fuck, they were occupied by them.
When do you draw the line? Yemen literally had no reason to go in to this conflict but they did for the sake of the Palestinians.
If you can’t even protect your own people who have been killed by the entity, then what are you actually good for?
That’s the sad reality. Red lines keep getting pushed because confronting the reality of the situation is to painful of a bandage to rip off.
The cost of turning a blind eye to Israeli attacks and the effects of the war are still more enticing then the political disaster that declaring war would bring. Essentially it’s a sacrifice that Hezbollah are willing to make.
But at the same time, can you really fault them? A war would bring tens of thousand of dead at the minimum, along with untold damage to the civilian population. Even if Lebanon wins a brilliant victory against Israel and turns into a world hero, the long term ramifications would be disastrous and leave Lebanon in a weakened position for years of not decades.
The cost of war for a nation the size of Lebanon is often disastrous. They are not like Russia or the US who can afford to take the ramifications in step.
I don’t have much respect for the Lebanese government, but i do for Hezbollah. We have to remember that these are two different entities, and i think that so far Hezbollah have played a very smart game, they have acted patiently and strategically and have carefully controlled the pace of escalation. They have caused huge problems for the Zionist entity in the north of occupied Palestine, and this simultaneously takes pressure off of Gaza as a lot of resources have to be devoted to the northern front now while at the same time creating a political conundrum for the Zionist regime as it is forced to pick between openly admitting to their humiliating defeat in Gaza or a worse and worse security situation in the north.
It’s easy to fall into the trap of wanting to see some big, spectacular escalation by the Lebanese resistance but we have to ask ourselves whether we want that because it’s the strategically correct play to help Gaza and the Palestinian people or because we are impatient and have an emotional need for some kind of immediate catharsis.
Sometimes we have to have some humility and admit that maybe we don’t know what’s best because we aren’t there on the ground and should instead trust that the axis of resistance knows its own situation better than we ever could, they have experience fighting the Zionist entity and they know what they’re doing.